Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.448846 0.518994 0.595659 0.685553 0.787954 0.900851 1.034632
2025-07-20 0.347218 0.446779 0.566556 0.720703 0.913211 1.145034 1.444656
2025-07-27 0.286226 0.398494 0.543390 0.742856 1.008889 1.349872 1.818175
2025-08-03 0.240256 0.357191 0.517150 0.749878 1.077333 1.518697 2.155060
2025-08-10 0.203553 0.320707 0.489383 0.746939 1.126521 1.660775 2.463754
2025-08-17 0.173419 0.288134 0.461178 0.737208 1.161327 1.781786 2.749398
2025-08-24 0.149673 0.261238 0.436936 0.728679 1.194313 1.899817 3.037345
2025-08-31 0.127171 0.232728 0.405956 0.704802 1.199249 1.973552 3.261622
2025-09-07 0.119811 0.228434 0.413145 0.742420 1.304212 2.208998 3.754442
2025-09-14 0.103793 0.206558 0.387895 0.722329 1.311291 2.287546 4.000764
2025-09-21 0.090258 0.187219 0.364521 0.702339 1.315515 2.360087 4.240690
2025-09-28 0.079134 0.170839 0.344374 0.685486 1.322729 2.436831 4.491717
2025-10-05 0.073084 0.163874 0.341335 0.700551 1.389970 2.624840 4.954309
2025-10-12 0.069903 0.162399 0.348738 0.736342 1.499041 2.895992 5.586243
2025-10-19 0.065585 0.157870 0.349466 0.758936 1.584800 3.131087 6.170053
2025-10-26 0.060235 0.150278 0.342968 0.766099 1.640814 3.314804 6.671745
2025-11-02 0.054610 0.141212 0.332218 0.763101 1.675822 3.460637 7.111448
2025-11-09 0.049078 0.131533 0.318945 0.753174 1.695422 3.577565 7.503151
2025-11-16 0.044271 0.122887 0.306897 0.744473 1.716428 3.698187 7.909802
2025-11-23 0.038963 0.112158 0.288759 0.720113 1.701483 3.744886 8.171362
2025-11-30 0.038124 0.112914 0.297686 0.758491 1.826517 4.086724 9.055571
2025-12-07 0.033903 0.103976 0.282175 0.737995 1.818546 4.150589 9.369432
2025-12-14 0.030160 0.095755 0.267410 0.717601 1.808699 4.209218 9.675542